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Azimio’s Manifesto issa disturbing Load of CRAP

REVIEW OF AZIMIO MANIFESTO: 12 DISTURBING ISSUES.

I have just finished reading the 84 page Azimio Manifesto and it is quite underwhelming. It finally confirms my worst fears that the Azimio team is completely clueless on how to address the challenges we are facing. I know those who are politically possessed will think this opening remark is biased and harsh. It is not. In fact I am quite generous in my assessment.

The document is full of qualitative narratives and it doesn’t quantify or provide any timelines for the promises made. This means that it will be impossible to hold Azimio government to account if they take power. The few issues quantified are quite concerning because they haven’t been financed. There is no explanation of where the money to fulfill these promises will come from. I will give the following examples;

1. Azimio promises to increase county government allocation to 35% of shareable revenue. This translates to KShs 749 Billion as per the Division of Revenue Bill 2022 which puts the shareable revenue at KShs 2.1 Trillion. The Bill has currently allocated KShs 370 Billion to the counties. Where will the additional KShs 379 Billion come from?

2. Their Inua Jamii project will transfer KShs 6,000 monthly to 2 million poor households. This translates to KShs 144 Billion annually. Karua told a local media station that the Azimio government will fund this from the KShs 800 Billion it claims will be saved from fighting corruption. This is pure fantasy and delusion

3. Azimio promises free education from ECD all the way to the university. The education budget is currently at KShs 463 Billion. How much will it cost to offer free education to all?

4. Azimio also promises to employ all currently unemployed teachers. Another unquantified and unfinanced promise. No numbers are given on how many teachers are currently unemployed. No need assessment has been done to determine how many teachers are needed. In just one quarter I saw TSC has registered over 15,000 teachers. You can imagine the numbers of unemployed teachers

5. Azimio promises to connect all houses to water. No numbers are given on how many houses will need to be connected, at what cost and within what timelines. They just say it will be done progressively. One would assume they will do it in five years since that is the duration their term will run. How possible is this?

6. They promise to increase the share of agriculture to 30% of GDP. These are absurd figures. Before the rebasing of the GDP in 2020, the share of agriculture to GDP was over 34.1%. In developed countries, the share of agriculture to GDP is usually less than 10%. Someone talking about increasing the share of agriculture to GDP doesn’t know what they are talking about. Quality economies are created by increasing the share of Industry and Services to the GDP

7. They also promise to raise the share of manufacturing to 30% of GDP. Raising the contribution from 7.5% to 30% in 5 years would require more than a miracle. They need to provide very comprehensive details on how such a miracle will be achieved. None has been provided

8. On lowering the cost of power, they promise to reduce system losses from 23% to 10% by strengthening the grid. This promise fails to appreciate that system losses are both technical and commercial. What we need most is an audit of these system losses because some are being caused by corruption. You can’t just focus on the technical side of the equation.

They also promise to “Invest in additional generation capacity at a lower 15% cost.” This is a vague and incomprehensible statement. The Azimio team fails to address the thorny issue of IPPs and lopsided PPAs. Unless and until this is addressed, the promise for cheap power will remain a pipe dream

9. They promise affordable quality healthcare but no details are provided on what it will entail or how it will be financed. They also promise that retired civil servants will continue to enjoy medical cover at the expense of the government. How will this be financed? Imagine all those senior people in government with hefty medical covers continuing to drain the government all their life? Why not just make healthcare affordable to all?

10. Another issue close to my heart is that of Affordable Housing. The Azimio team has not made any promises on number of houses that will be constructed. They have just made qualitative and generic commitments

11. They have made a commitment to “Implementing minimum guarantee returns to our farmers.” This is another loaded promise that needs to be quantified and described in detail. How will it be funded or actualised while keeping cost of living down?

12. On the monster that is public debt, the document trivialises the issue by saying they will restructure the debt and seek debt forgiveness. Our costliest debt is domestic debt. How will they restructure that or seek forgiveness without destroying the financial system? They also promise to create a Debt Management Office. We already have that and it hasn’t helped in any way.

The issue of public debt is about the huge budget deficit we have been running. To deal with debt you need to raise revenues and lower expenditure. This is to be done such that the revenues grow at a much faster rate than spending. There is no shortcut to dealing with this issue. Lowering the budget deficit to acceptable levels will cure the debt problem in a sustainable manner.

The expansionist promises Azimio is making betray a serious lack of understanding of the fiscal predicament we are in. If they implement these proposals as promised, the public debt situation will worsen.

We as voters need to hold these politicians to account. If someone is not serious about the promises they are making, how will they run government if elected? How will they address the challenges we are facing if they do not understand them?

Please let us avoid politicising this issue. If this economy collapses we are all going to suffer regardless of which political side we support. As and when UDA releases their manifesto, I will also review it objectively.

© Ephraim Njega

 
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Posted by on June 8, 2022 in Politics

 

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Here is why activist Boniface Mwangi believes Raila Odinga will make a good President

Raila is no saint but he is going to make a good president because he deeply cares about Kenya and Kenyans. He has made mistakes but he is also a man who has paid a heavy price for fighting for Kenyans. He was arrested in 1982 and spent six years in jail, while there his mother died but he was not informed until two months later. He was released in February 1988 and only to be arrested in September 1988. He spent 9 years in jail for fighting not for his stomach but for a better Kenya. He has undergone physical, emotional and psychological torture. He has won elections, but instead of a smooth transfer of power, his supporters have been murdered.

A man whose father Jaramogi Oginga Odinga was a selfless freedom fighter, whose family has suffered immensely is compared to a thief who has never worked anywhere in his entire life. The only payslip William Ruto has ever seen is his salary as a member of parliament and now as Deputy President but Ruto is a billionaire. It’s an open secret how he got his looted billions. When Raila Odinga and Martha Karua were getting beaten and harassed by the Moi dictatorship, Ruto and Rigathi were working for that regime.

The 2022 elections should be a walk in the park for the people’s president Raila Odinga. Finally, those who have been stealing his elections and killing his supporters are going home, but it has become complicated. Raila Odinga who is known as a forgiving man, shook hands with President Uhuru Kenyatta, a handshake that he did to stop the killings of his supporters, and for his region to get development. Raila forgave Moi for jailing him without trial for 9 years, forgave Kibaki for stealing his victory, and forgave President Uhuru Kenyatta for demonizing him, killing his supporters and stealing elections.

That forgiveness, the one the bible preaches, which Raila Odinga as a good Christain followed is been used to blame him for President Uhuru Kenyatta and his Deputy Ruto’s failure. Raila has never been Kenya’s President, and in the past 10 years, this country has been run by the two brothers Uhuru and Ruto. There is no place Raila Odinga has handled Kenya’s budget or borrowed money from anyone. He was the one screaming money is been stolen and we ignored him.

Today, Deputy President Ruto, who has been charged with all manner of crimes in the past, and has been part of the grand looting government is angry that Raila Odinga forgave Uhuru Kenyatta. Raila forgave his political rival Uhuru and they became friends, but Raila Odinga didn’t take over the government. Just because you’re a friend of the president doesn’t make you president. President Uhuru Kenyatta in his happiness for being forgiven by Raila Odinga has decided to endorse Raila for president. That’s his democratic right to do so.

President Uhuru is supporting Raila Odinga for many reasons, some of which he knows Raila Odinga will not seek revenge, and he will treat him as an elderly statesman, Uhuru regrets travelling across the country calling Raila Odinga names. That campaign of demonizing Raila needs to be undone. If Uhuru Kenyatta cares about Raila Odinga, he needs to do a public apology for all the things he said about him, and that will help Raila in Central Kenya. People remember what Uhuru said about Raila and he needs to say it was just politics and he went overboard. President Uhuru should also do a video telling Kenyans why he believes Ruto shouldn’t succeed him as president. He knows everything Ruto has stolen, he knows Ruto and Rigathi will loot Kenya dry and he should say that categorically. Kenyans need to know he isn’t betraying his promise of Ruto succeeding him, he just doesn’t want thieves to succeed him.

Finally, President Uhuru should step down as Azimio’s chair. He should let Kenyans know that he is going home. His association with Raila Odinga and Martha Karua, two very strong, credible and clean candidates are hurting them. Let Raila and Martha run their campaign, he can support them without occupying a position in the coalition or saying anything. That support is making some people think, wrongly so, that Uhuru will be in the next government.

Finally, why did l type this on social media instead of whispering to Raila Odinga and Martha Karua? I have 2.5 million followers across my social media platforms and I want my personal thoughts as the People’s Watchman to be public. l want the supporters of Azimio to defend our presidential candidate Raila Odinga from the association of 10 years of bad governance by the Jubilee government. Raila Odinga and Martha Karua haven’t occupied an elected position since 2013. It’s unfair, hateful and bad politics to associate them as individuals as part of the Jubilee regime. For the past 10 years, Kenya gave Uhuru and Ruto that mandate. Electing Deputy President Ruto will be a continuation of the Jubille government but electing Raila and Martha will give Kenya a new beginning. A chance to fight tribalism, heal and fight corruption collectively. Deputy President Ruto has been working for the government since 2013, if he hasn’t created any jobs for us, what jobs will create now? Don’t be deceived. Ruto’s cases of looting are in the public domain. Also, let your vote count, apart from ensuring you don’t vote for thieves at the presidency level, any candidate who has a criminal case pending in court doesn’t matter if they have been cleared by their party leaders and Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission shouldn’t be elected. The difference between Raila and Martha, and the other side is the fight between light and darkness. Light cannot overpower darkness so please let’s shine this light of love, and change the UDA supporters’ minds. Once Azimio’s manifesto is launched, read, understand and sell it. This country will be changed by us, we must campaign for our Presidential candidate 100%. Send the wheelbarrow merchants of lies home.

I’m also waiting for Raila and Martha to give their supporters a pay bill we support their campaigns. The campaign officially started yesterday and the Azimio campaign will be funded by the people, because the people’s president will finally be elected on 9th August 2022. These views are my own. I speak for myself as a voter and supporter of Azimio. Since l have opened my heart on this matter, I will leave it to rest and focus on campaigning for President Raila Odinga and his Deputy Martha Karua. I hope we can engage with this post without insults but with facts.

© Boniface Mwangi

 
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Posted by on May 31, 2022 in Politics

 

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Sauti Sol threatens to sue Raila Odinga over Copyright infringement

Kenya’s most successful afro-pop band – Sauti Sol – through their social media page Twitter has threatened to sue Raila Odinga’s presidential campaign for copyright infringement. This is after the Azimio la Umoja Coalition used the Band’s song Extravaganza as a soundtrack during the unveiling of Martha Karua as AZIMIO’s running mate yesterday.

Below is the full statement:

 

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